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Alexander Center For Applied Population Biology

Camera-Shy Cats

Clearing land for cattle pastures creates a lot of problems for jaguars. Not only is their habitat and food source, such as peccaries or tapir, gone, but it forces the big cats to hunt cattle and chickens, putting them in conflict with the settlers.

National Monuments and Chance Encounters

The situation in zoos could not be more different. After decades of successful care and management of jaguars, zoo scientists have an abundance of data and tools at their disposal for studying the cryptic creatures. And at Lincoln Park Zoo, home to the Alexander Center for Applied Population
Biology, population biologists have years of expertise studying and conserving threatened populations like the jaguar. Which is why three
Alexander Center scientists are now guiding efforts to save jaguars in Argentina, where the cat is known as a Monumento Natural Nacional, a
“National Natural Monument.”

Getting called a Natural Monument in Argentina is not quite the honor it sounds like—Natural Monuments are equivalent to endangered species in the U.S. And similar to U.S. practice, when a species is declared a Natural Monument in Argentina, a team of experts is assembled to develop and implement a recovery plan for it. The newly formed jaguar-recovery team’s task was far from straightforward, however. Data on the mysterious jaguar was sporadic, with different teams of researchers concentrating on different habitats and problems using different methods and assumptions. Missing was a big-picture perspective, a risk-assessment model to gauge just how threatened the jaguar population was in Argentina and what its prospects were for the future. Without that model, it would be difficult for the recovery team to determine the best way to go forward.

A chance encounter in 2001, the year Argentina declared the jaguar a Natural Monument, led the recovery team to the tools they needed to build the model. While in England attending the Society for Conservation Biology annual conference, Earnhardt, who heads the Alexander Center, met Argentine biologist Mario di Bitetti, Ph.D. The two scientists began discussing Argentina’s jaguar population and Earnhardt mentioned that the zoo had
expertise with Population Habitat Viability Analysis (PHVA), a tool that could help the recovery team make the model they were looking for.

Participants at the jaguar conservation planning meeting in Brasilia, Brazil. Lincoln Park Zoo staff planned and led the meeting with scientists from Brazil and Argentina.

An international team to conserve the jaguars was born. Through its field-conservation grant program, the zoo began to fund the jaguar work of di Bitetti in Argentina and of Laury Cullen, Ph.D., in neighboring Brazil. Then Earnhardt was invited to Argentina to help create the jaguar-recovery plan using population-biology methods. Within months, Earnhardt brought two other Alexander Center scientists on board, Population Biologist and Ph.D. candidate Lisa Faust, and Post-doctoral Research Associate Eric Lonsdorf, Ph.D., to develop a specialized computer model of the Argentine jaguar population. This summer, the zoo researchers convened and led the second PHVA meeting. “It was challenging and quite entertaining to try to organize a meeting that was going to take place in Brazil from our office in Chicago,” says Earnhardt. “For one thing, none of us at the zoo speak Portuguese!”

After months of planning and broken English, the meeting went off without a hitch. Earnhardt, Faust and Lonsdorf traveled to Brasilia, Brazil to demonstrate how PHVAs work and to explain how to collect the types of data needed for the computer models. “The computer models are necessary,” explains Earnhardt, “because computers can take into account many complex factors and integrate these factors much more precisely than the human brain.” In building the model, the zoo team will organize data such as birth rates, prey availability and habitat types from many different researchers into one layered system.

Next: Modeling in the Wild

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